Luck Bell Curve: how is it calculated?

[ShellysAshes]

Few Qs about the bell curve.

1. I have an extreme outlier over a reasonable cash sample of about 675k hands. Straights is at the extreme end of unlucky.

I'm wondering how this stat is calculated? Eg; I think I had a leak for a while of overfolding OOP vs barrels with OESD. And maybe folding SD in other situations where I shouldn't be (overfolding gutshots in IP 3BP as PFC) etc.

Is this potentially the explanation for this outlier, or is this statistic not calculated this way; but instead only calculated when you call a bet and don't make your hit?


2. Does the bell curve have much practical utility beyond just being a different measure of variance? I suppose if it turns out my outlier can be explained by overfolds then that would prove it serves a practical purpose.

[Flag_Hippo]

That's based on how often you complete a draw given that you had a draw and saw the next street so if you don't reach the next street because you or your opponents folded then that wouldn't be a part of the calculations. The data for the curve itself is calculated using standard deviation.